Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.175408 0.197299 0.220255 0.246064 0.274219 0.303943 0.337639
2025-03-09 0.145588 0.175132 0.207720 0.246137 0.289991 0.338289 0.395298
2025-03-16 0.123115 0.157184 0.196460 0.244677 0.301845 0.367024 0.446493
2025-03-23 0.109279 0.147083 0.192387 0.249972 0.320465 0.403173 0.506714
2025-03-30 0.095760 0.135547 0.185002 0.249924 0.331747 0.430249 0.556486
2025-04-06 0.084554 0.125533 0.178245 0.249527 0.341771 0.455406 0.604084
2025-04-13 0.075150 0.116776 0.172085 0.248977 0.350924 0.479163 0.650096
2025-04-20 0.068218 0.110601 0.168624 0.251341 0.363424 0.507051 0.701649
2025-04-27 0.063684 0.107301 0.168638 0.258050 0.381541 0.542352 0.763320
2025-05-04 0.058175 0.101985 0.165307 0.259711 0.392604 0.568435 0.813401
2025-05-11 0.054083 0.098382 0.164056 0.263998 0.407131 0.599231 0.870171
2025-05-18 0.051583 0.096998 0.165861 0.272565 0.427694 0.638479 0.938929
2025-05-25 0.046319 0.090844 0.160300 0.270371 0.433384 0.658250 0.982914
2025-06-01 0.042179 0.086134 0.156578 0.270599 0.442392 0.682692 1.033741
2025-06-08 0.038103 0.081113 0.151964 0.269107 0.448657 0.703285 1.079591
2025-06-15 0.035897 0.079162 0.152105 0.274862 0.465701 0.739408 1.147734
2025-06-22 0.032805 0.075274 0.148747 0.274835 0.473910 0.762948 1.198551
2025-06-29 0.029951 0.071522 0.145319 0.274421 0.481359 0.785402 1.248134
2025-07-06 0.027345 0.067967 0.141945 0.273835 0.488378 0.807237 1.297119
2025-07-13 0.025459 0.065646 0.140552 0.276388 0.500274 0.836425 1.357191
2025-07-20 0.024397 0.064914 0.141937 0.283624 0.519725 0.877227 1.434891
2025-07-27 0.022671 0.062584 0.140222 0.285415 0.530421 0.904999 1.493881
2025-08-03 0.021443 0.061208 0.140173 0.290036 0.545753 0.940042 1.564174